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Technical notes:

The 2017 Sydney Housing Supply Forecast provides an estimate of future housing supply that will be built over the next 5 years.  They are prepared by the Department to inform infrastructure planning and service delivery, as well as to inform decisions on future land use zoning. 

The forecast takes into account current residential developments that are either under construction or approved, as well as future likely development under current zoning and planning controls.

The forecast is an estimate of the number of new dwellings that could be built if current zoning and planning controls remain the same. They reflect current trends in residential construction and approval activity.  These could potentially change in the future as housing development is influenced by a wide variety of economic, social and other factors, many of which can't be foreseen. 

The forecast does not take into account housing supply that may result from changes to government policy in the future, possible future rezonings, or state or council strategies where planning and delivery timeframes are still yet to be determined. 

The Department also publishes an estimate of the Implied Dwelling Requirements which is a measure of likely housing demand based on projected population growth and household formation.

Geographic areas covered

The forecasts cover all 33 Local Government Areas in Greater Sydney. 

LGAs include new councils proclaimed on 12 May and 9 September 2016.

Greater Sydney includes the following LGAs:

Bayside, Blacktown, Blue Mountains, Burwood, Camden, Campbelltown, Canada Bay, Canterbury-Bankstown, Cumberland, Fairfield, Georges River, Hawkesbury, Hornsby, Hunters Hill, Inner West, Ku-ring-gai, Lane Cove, Liverpool, Mosman, North Sydney, Northern Beaches, Parramatta, Penrith, Randwick, Ryde, Strathfield, Sutherland, Sydney, The Hills, Waverley, Willoughby, Wollondilly, Woollahra.

Disclaimer

While every reasonable effort has been made to ensure that these forecasts are correct at the time of release, the State of New South Wales, its agents and employees, disclaim any and all liability to any person in respect of anything or the consequence of anything done or omitted to be done in reliance upon the whole or any part of these projections.

Glossary

Approved: this refers to development approval, where a project has been granted permission by a consent authority to commence development. 

 

Commencement: a residential building is commenced when the first physical building activity has been performed on the site in the form of materials fixed in place and / or labour expended.

 

Completion: a residential building is completed when building activity has progressed to the stage where the building can be occupied.

 

Forecast: estimate of the number of new houses or dwellings that are likely to be built in the future.

 

Housing Demand: the need for housing based on the number of households in the population and their willingness / ability to buy or rent in the housing market

 

Housing supply: is the production and provision of housing.

 

Local Government Areas: LGAs includes new councils proclaimed on 12 May and 9 September 2016 within the Sydney Metropolitan Area (Bayside, Blacktown, Blue Mountains, Burwood, Camden, Campbelltown, Canada Bay, Canterbury-Bankstown, Cumberland, Fairfield, Georges River, Fairfield, Hawkesbury, Hornsby, Hunters Hill, Inner West, Ku-ring-gai, Lane Cove, Liverpool, Mosman, North Sydney, Northern Beaches, Parramatta, Penrith, Randwick, Ryde, Strathfield, Sutherland, Sydney, The Hills, Waverley, Willoughby, Wollondilly, Woollahra)

 

Greater Sydney: The Sydney Statistical Division not including Central Coast LGA.

 

Under construction: a residential building which has commenced construction, but has not yet been completed to a stage that allows occupation.

 

Zoning and planning controls: legislative framework for regulating land use and development, including the location, density, height, and type of new residential development. 

Page last updated: 08/12/2017